With the introduction of OpenAI’s GPT-3.5 series in late 2022, the world witnessed a surge in investment in generative AI. IDC predicts that worldwide spending on AI solutions will surpass $500 billion by 2027, signifying a significant shift in technology investments toward AI implementation and the adoption of AI-enhanced products and services.

IDC recently hosted a FutureScape webinar by Ritu Jyoti, group vice president of Worldwide Artificial Intelligence and Automation Market Research and Advisory Services. This webinar highlights some of the top 10 worldwide AI and automation predictions for 2024 and beyond. Watch now on-demand.

“ChatGPT’s explosive global popularity has given us AI’s first true inflection point in public adoption,” says Ritu Jyoti. “As AI and automation investments grow, focus on outcomes, governance, and risk management is paramount.”

IDC’s FutureScape 2024 research focuses on the external drivers that will alter the global business ecosystem over the next 12 to 24 months. It also addresses the issues technology and IT teams will face as they define, build, and govern the technologies required to thrive in a digital-first world.

A closer look at IDC’s top ten predictions for artificial intelligence, GenAI, and automation reveals the following:

• Prediction 1: Tempering GenAI’s Risks: Accelerated efficiency and catastrophic risk are the two sides to the shiny new GenAI coin. To reduce the risks, cloud and software platform providers will bundle GenAI safety and governance packages with their primary services to add value and differentiate their offerings.
• Prediction 2: Diverse Regulatory Requirements: Efforts to regulate the deployment and development of AI systems will vary across regions and countries. These diverse regulatory requirements are likely to result in organizations taking more phased approaches to AI rollouts. This will also increase time to value.
• Prediction 3: Conversation as the Standard UI: Conversation is already emerging as the standard user interface (UI) for both enterprise and consumer applications and solutions. These conversational AI interfaces will significantly affect customer engagement, sales, marketing, and even the IT help desk.
• Prediction 4: The Focus Shifts to Outcomes: As their understanding of automation matures, project sponsors have shifted from a technology focus to an outcomes mindset where they require tangible proof of value delivered for their investments This is measured by KPIs aligned with business and financial outcomes.
• Prediction 5: GenAI-based Tools Automate Software Quality: Because of the value GenAI brings to automated testing, IDC expects it to quickly change the landscape of software testing. Vendors will become capable of producing a significant percentage of tests to decrease manual efforts and improve test coverage leading to better code quality.
• Prediction 6: GenAI Transforms Application Modernization IT Services: Increased utilization of AI in application modernization IT services can streamline efficiency, enhance services delivery speed, and bolster IT services margins.
• Prediction 7: Bringing AI to Knowledge Discovery: The latest advances in generative AI have prompted a surge of demand for capabilities such as natural language question answering and conversational search to support self-service knowledge discovery.
• Prediction 8: Monetizing GenAI: While technology is a source of advantage, it is the business model that will help businesses monetize generative AI and drive lasting competitive advantage. By 2024, 33% of G2000 companies will exploit innovative business models to double their monetization potential of GenAI.
• Prediction 9: AGI on the Horizon: Multiple groups are working toward Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) and companies will be experimenting with AGI systems by 2028. As it progresses, AGI will be transformative, impacting everything from the labor market to how we understand concepts like intelligence and creativity.
• Prediction 10: Chip Priorities Change: Until AI workloads that require the offload of tasks from server processors to accelerators standardize on algorithms and software stacks tuned to server processors, purchase of accelerators (GPU, FPGA, and AI ASIC and ASSP) will eat into purchase of server processors (CPUs).